Watchlist

U.S. — Georgia SB 351 social-media age verification (NetChoice v. Carr)

United States (11th Cir. / N.D. Ga.)

Published opinion No. 25-12436: NetChoice has associational standing but failed Moody facial First Amendment burden plus vagueness and § 230 at the PI stage. SB 351 age verification / under-16 parental consent / minor-ad limits enforceable pending further district-court proceedings.

Last updated 2026-10-16

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — DOJ suit over California vote-by-mail ballots to likely noncitizens

United States (C.D. Cal.)

United States v. California seeks to enjoin tabulation of federal vote-by-mail ballots from a federal list of more than 20,000 likely noncitizens until citizenship is verified. Cites 18 U.S.C. § 611 and California’s mail-to-all-registered-voters practice.

Last updated 2026-10-16

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — EPA proposal to reallocate extra 2025 small refinery exemptions onto 2026–27 RFS

United States (EPA)

FR Doc. 2026-21155 (published 16 Oct) co-proposes reallocating 770 million additional 2025 exempted RINs either equally to 2026 and 2027 or all to 2027. EPA estimates under 1¢/gal added pump cost. Triggers automatic extension of the 2026 compliance reporting deadline (now 31 Mar 2027).

Last updated 2026-10-16

Primary tracker / statute →

EU — proposal to delay Methane Regulation import obligations by one year

European Union (Commission / Parliament / Council)

Would move the importer equivalence demonstration (now from 1 Jan 2027) to a first report by 31 May 2029, methane-intensity reporting from 5 Aug 2028 to 5 Aug 2029, and maximum-intensity compliance from 5 Aug 2030 to 5 Aug 2031. Commission cites the Hormuz supply shock.

Last updated 2026-10-15

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — Emergency Tax Relief on Diesel Fuel (executive order)

United States (Treasury / IRS)

EO 14435 (91 FR 64747) directed Treasury to decide whether 26 U.S.C. 7508A relief is authorised and to have the IRS waive 6715 dyed-fuel penalties for highway use. Update 14 Oct: IR-2026-122 announces no federal dyed-diesel highway penalty from 1 Oct through 31 Dec 2026 (inspections suspended; federal-only). The same release says further 7508A postponement guidance for 4041(a)(1)(A)/(b)(1)(B) is anticipated and that Treasury will explore eliminating deferred amounts — that guidance is not yet issued. Illinois EO 2026-08 (6 Oct) is separate state relief. OFAC GL 135 (9 Oct) still authorizes Russian-origin diesel imports to 7 Apr 2027.

Last updated 2026-10-15

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — DHS/USCIS final rule ending automatic EAD extensions on renewal

United States (DHS / USCIS)

FR Doc. 2026-20955 adopts without change the 30 Oct 2025 IFR (90 FR 48799): renewals in covered categories filed on/after 30 Oct 2025 do not get automatic extension of employment authorization/EAD; up-to-540-day bridge limited to renewals filed before that date. C08 and C09 dominate volume. 653 comments on the IFR.

Last updated 2026-10-14

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — EPA extends GHGRP reporting-year 2025 deadline to 10 March 2027

United States (EPA)

FR Doc. 2026-20982 changes only the reporting-year 2025 Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program deadline, from 30 Oct 2026 to 10 Mar 2027, while EPA finishes a separate GHGRP reconsideration proposal. No other part 98 changes.

Last updated 2026-10-14

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — BIS guidance on “U.S. content” for USMCA goods under Proclamation 11032

United States (Commerce / BIS; CBP) — Canada and Mexico

For USMCA-qualifying Canadian and Mexican Annex I-C steel and aluminum articles, the 25% duty applies only to non-U.S. content, with a 15% floor (8 Jun 2026–31 Dec 2027). BIS defines U.S. content as U.S. parts (wholly obtained, entirely produced or substantially transformed) plus U.S.-melted steel and U.S.-smelted aluminum and copper.

Last updated 2026-10-14

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — DHS/EOIR final rule on civil fines for failure to depart and unlawful entry

United States (DHS / ICE / CBP; DOJ / EOIR)

FR Doc. 2026-21024 finalizes the 27 June 2025 interim rule (90 FR 27439): DHS officers issue penalty decisions directly (regular mail allowed), 15 business days to appeal, supervisory review on the written record, no BIA appeal. One change: late appeals accepted for documented mail delays. Fines up to $998/day (INA 274D), $1,992–$9,970 (INA 240B(d)), $100–$500 per entry (INA 275(b)). DHS reports over 176,000 penalties issued under the interim rule through 14 Sep 2026.

Last updated 2026-10-14

Primary tracker / statute →

Canada — proposed order letting 27 police services use cellphone jammers

Canada (ISED / Radiocommunication Act s. 14(1))

Proposed Radiocommunication Act Exemption Order (Jammers — Certain Law Enforcement Agencies): exempts employees of 27 listed police services, their procurement staff and suppliers from the jammer ban for national security, public safety, investigations and protection purposes. Conditions: notice of contacts to the Minister, minimization, training, secure storage, five-year use logs. No warrant requirement, public reporting or expiry in the text. In force on registration.

Last updated 2026-10-13

Primary tracker / statute →

Canada — Bill C-31 Division 13: end of mandatory 15-year pesticide re-evaluation

Canada (House of Commons, Standing Committee on Finance)

Clauses 282–285 of the Budget 2025 Implementation Act, No. 2 replace mandatory re-evaluation under Pest Control Products Act s. 16(2) with a 15-year assessment on available information; full re-evaluation only on reasonable grounds that risks have ‘increased significantly’ (undefined). Ongoing re-evaluations can be terminated after such an assessment.

Last updated 2026-10-13

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — CBP proposal to require advance passenger and crew data for every cross-border train

United States (DHS / CBP) — trains to and from Canada and Mexico

FR Doc. 2026-20884 (USCBP-2026-0992) would require rail carriers to send a train notice 24 hours ahead and each traveller’s identity, document, itinerary, U.S. address, seat and contact data 60 minutes before departure, in both directions, and to verify travel documents. CBP could recommend that a carrier not board a flagged traveller. Voluntary since 2005; one carrier participates. CBP is drafting a matching bus rule.

Last updated 2026-10-13

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — Forest Service final rule shortening project comment and objection periods (36 CFR 218)

United States (USDA / Forest Service) — national forests and grasslands

FR Doc. 2026-20890: comment periods 15 days (EA) / 30 days (EIS), from 30/45; objections within 10/20 days, from 45 (30 for HFRA projects); the deciding official reviews objections instead of a higher-level reviewing officer; 5-page responses; web-only legal notice. Proposed 6 Feb 2026 (91 FR 5387); ~2,270 comments.

Last updated 2026-10-13

Primary tracker / statute →

Alberta — second Impact Assessment Act reference (2026 ABCA 320)

Canada (Alberta Court of Appeal → possible SCC appeal)

Reference by Alberta OIC 316/2024 on the IAA as amended by the Budget Implementation Act, 2024, No 1. Majority (Crighton, Strekaf, Ho, Fagnan JJA): designated-projects part and Physical Activities Regulations unconstitutional except insofar as they apply to federal undertakings; severing s 7 would not cure it. Feehan JA dissented. Advisory opinion; the Act remains in force. Ecojustice has urged Ottawa to appeal; Premier Smith urged Ottawa not to. Environment Minister Dabrusin’s office says the government is reviewing the decision and considering next steps (CP, 9 Oct). No appeal announced as of 11 Oct.

Last updated 2026-10-11

Primary tracker / statute →

SCOTUS — Trump v. Kingdom BOP gender-dysphoria policy stay (26A416)

United States (SCOTUS / BOP)

Solicitor General emergency application asks SCOTUS to stay D.D.C. classwide block on BOP’s February 2026 gender-dysphoria policy (mental-health care continues; surgeries / general new hormones / social accommodations end). D.C. Cir. denied stay 18 Sep (divided). Chief Justice requested response by 4 p.m. EDT 8 Oct 2026 (confirmed on public docket 1 Oct morning). Still not a grant/deny. Distinct from Oregon S.D. v. Reese and from DHS v. D.V.D. 26A406. Update 9 Oct: opposition filed 8 Oct (APA arbitrary/pretext; PLRA argument forfeited; ~1,000 people affected per respondents); 24-state + Arizona Legislature amicus for applicants; SG reply 9 Oct. No order yet.

Last updated 2026-10-09

Primary tracker / statute →

Bill C-39 — Building Canada Strong Act

Canada (federal)

Omnibus companion to C-5-era major-projects tools: Impact Assessment / CER clocks, regions of national interest, ports/trade corridors, and Canada Labour Code mediation / CIRB direction tools. Second-reading debate on 23–25 Sep (Journals 142–144); Sitting 144 motion seeks referral to a legislative committee, and Ryan Turnbull moved the previous question. Debate on the previous question continued on 5 Oct (Journals 145) and again on the evening of 6 Oct after the opposition day and Private Members’ Business (Journals 146), with no vote. At midnight on 7 Oct the previous question was agreed to on division; the second-reading recorded division is deferred to 8 Oct after QP (Journals 147). PROC 34th report named the 11-member Legislative Committee on C-39. Not yet law. West Coast Oil Pipeline was listed in Schedule 1 on 1 Oct (PC 2026-0925) under C-5 tools; LNG Canada Phase 2 FID is a separate gas file. Update 9 Oct: second reading and referral agreed to 296–26 on 8 Oct (Division 178, 10 paired; Bloc, NDP and May nay); James Maloney appointed committee chair (Journals No. 148). Not law.

Last updated 2026-10-09

Primary tracker / statute →

Canada federal fuel excise pause

Canada (federal)

Excise relief extended; trucking and farm desks still flag retail diesel levels as the binding constraint — ~4¢/L pause vs record pump prices. Legislated as Bill C-38 (Canadian Fuel Affordability Act): suspension to 31 Jan 2027, 50% rates 1 Feb–31 Mar 2027. Second reading 22 Sep; Finance committee reported it without amendment 6 Oct; report stage and third reading next, then the Senate. PBO cost estimate (8 Oct): $4.943B in 2026-27 incl. GST; $276 average per family ($132 lowest quintile to $468 highest), assuming full pass-through. House to sit until midnight 19 Oct and take up C-38 at 6:30 p.m. (Journals No. 148).

Last updated 2026-10-09

Canada — MAID mental-illness exclusion (17 Mar 2027 lapse) and promised government bill

Canada (federal)

Under C-62 (S.C. 2024, c. 1), the exclusion of MAID where mental illness is the sole condition lapses on 17 March 2027. On 7 Oct Ministers Fraser and Michel promised a fall bill keeping the exclusion ‘on an indeterminate basis’ and allowing advance requests, with provinces deciding whether to permit them. The same day the House negatived Conservative Bill C-218 (Jansen) at second reading, 141–187 (Division 177). No government bill tabled yet.

Last updated 2026-10-08

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. — DHS proposed $70,000 / $30,000 OPT fees (F-1 students)

United States (DHS / ICE)

Proposed rule 2026-20660 (91 FR 64566) would charge SEVP-certified schools $70,000 per F-1 student recommended for initial OPT and $30,000 for any later OPT (including the STEM extension). Fees are refundable if no EAD issues and go to Treasury general receipts. DHS acknowledges schools may pass the cost on. A final rule would take effect 60 days after publication and apply prospectively.

Last updated 2026-10-08

Primary tracker / statute →

Canada — cost of NATO 3.5% core defence target (PBO)

Canada (federal)

PBO primer NT-2627-013-S: on a gradual path, core defence spending rises from $95.7B (2030-31) to $163.6B (2035-36), $70.1B above a 2%-of-GDP reference. Accrual deficit +$63.7B (1.4% of GDP) and debt +5.7 points in 2035-36. The paths are illustrative, not projections. The government says 4% by 2030 is provisioned and 5% by 2035 will need more.

Last updated 2026-10-08

Primary tracker / statute →

EU — Court of Auditors 2025 report: error rate and EU borrowing

European Union

Estimated error 3.8% (2024: 3.6%), adverse opinion on budget expenditure; RRF qualified opinion. Outstanding EU borrowing €738.9B at end-2025, could reach €1 trillion by 2027. NGEU financing costs in the current MFF could reach €28.3B vs €14.9B forecast. The Commission proposes €24B a year for 2028-34 and has published no overall repayment strategy to 2058.

Last updated 2026-10-08

Primary tracker / statute →

House — Conservative diesel-tax opposition motion (6 Oct 2026)

Canada (House of Commons)

First allotted day of the fall supply period. Carol Anstey’s motion calls on the government to eliminate all taxes on diesel consumption until at least Canada Day, permanently eliminate taxes on diesel production, fast-track diesel infrastructure, and target 1 million barrels/day of Canadian diesel output. Non-binding; names no specific tax. Federal diesel excise (4¢/L) already suspended to 31 Jan 2027. Question put at 5:30 p.m. on 6 Oct; recorded division deferred under SO 45 to 7 Oct (Journals No. 146). Negatived 7 Oct, 133–196 (Division 176): Conservatives yea; Liberals, Bloc, NDP and Green nay (Journals No. 147).

Last updated 2026-10-08

Primary tracker / statute →

Bill C-40 — Canadian Corporation for Defence Investment

Canada (House of Commons)

Government bill making the Defence Investment Agency a Crown corporation (agent of the Crown) with lending, guarantee and share powers, a $1 billion revolving cap on CRF payments plus $30M start-up, an Associate Minister for Procurement, and a rewritten procurement Act whose competitive-process default carries 13 ministerial exceptions. No new ATIA/Privacy Act listing. Five-year review.

Last updated 2026-10-07

Primary tracker / statute →

Bill C-231 — youth drug-treatment referrals (YCJA)

Canada (House of Commons)

Luc Berthold’s private member’s bill: police must consider treatment referral for youth possession offences; youth courts may delay sentencing for treatment; non-residential programs capped at 240 hours over six months. Committee deleted the ‘no custody for refusing treatment’ clause. Second reading 327–0 (15 Apr 2026).

Last updated 2026-10-07

Primary tracker / statute →

Netherlands — hybrid heat-pump standard on boiler replacement

Netherlands (EU)

Minister’s letter of 7 Oct 2026: from 2029, a smart hybrid heat pump becomes the starting point in many cases when a gas boiler is replaced, via a tightened Bbl heating-efficiency requirement. Exemptions foreseen for homes due for heat networks, apartment buildings and monuments. Payback study early 2027; consultation and voorhang 2027; publication mid-2028.

Last updated 2026-10-07

Primary tracker / statute →

CJEU C-249/25 — asylum claims of temporary-protection holders

European Union (CJEU) / Netherlands

Court of Justice: a generalised, automatic suspension of asylum examinations for people under Ukraine temporary protection infringes EU law; standard time limits apply, with extensions and phased examination allowed. Dutch minister says about 140,000 claims must now be processed (minister’s figure).

Last updated 2026-10-07

Primary tracker / statute →

Québec — PQ minority government and immigration plan

Québec

Élections Québec results file flagged final after the addition of the votes (7 Oct 02:12 ET): PQ 59 seats (28.02%), Liberals 40, Conservatives 19, Québec solidaire 9, CAQ 0; turnout 66.92%. Minority — 64 needed for a majority. Close seats: Vachon (Liberal by 10, was 14 preliminary), Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne (275, was 39). Any judicial recount could change Vachon, not the government. PQ pledge of 35,000 permanent admissions a year is a platform promise until a PQ government tables an immigration plan.

Last updated 2026-10-07

Primary tracker / statute →

DHS OIG-26-38 — ICE enforcement on visa overstays (FY 2021–24)

United States (DHS / ICE)

OIG audit: 3,145,375 overstay leads; 104,049 rated potential concerns; 21,885 viable; 496 investigated; 8 lead-driven arrests (2 from 1,769 Priority 1 leads). Separately 446 HSI and 16,458 ERO overstay arrests by other means. ICE concurred with one recommendation; corrective plan due 30 Sep 2027.

Last updated 2026-10-06

Primary tracker / statute →

H-1B $100,000 payment — Global Nurse Force v. Trump (N.D. Cal.)

United States (N.D. Cal. / USCIS)

Judge Haywood S. Gilliam Jr.’s 30 Sep 2026 order (Doc. 130, 25-cv-08454-HSG) vacates USCIS/CBP/State policies implementing the $100,000 H-1B payment and enjoins enforcement under Proclamations 10973 and 11069 until APA notice-and-comment and an RFA analysis. Not a holding that the proclamation is void. D. Mass. California v. Mullin already vacated the policies (First Circuit denied a stay); D.D.C. Chamber of Commerce upheld the fee and is on appeal.

Last updated 2026-10-06

Primary tracker / statute →

Big Bend border barrier — preliminary injunction (EP-26-CV-1099-KC)

United States (W.D. Tex. / DHS)

Judge Kathleen Cardone’s 2 Oct 2026 order (Doc. 66) enjoins border-barrier and ground-disturbing work in the Big Bend Sector until defendants comply with applicable laws, and stays the West, National Park, and Lower Canyons IIRIRA waivers. Not a final merits ruling. Distinct from the 2 Oct El Paso Sector New Mexico water-law waiver (91 FR 62739).

Last updated 2026-10-06

Primary tracker / statute →

Québec election — immigration thresholds (5 Oct 2026)

Québec

Élections Québec advance poll ran 27–28 Sep 2026; office voting window ended 1 Oct; polling day remains 5 Oct. Secondary reports citing Élections Québec preliminary counts put early turnout near ~13.8% / ~900k after advance days — turnout, not a threshold instrument. Permanent-admission pledges still span ~35k (PQ) to 70k (QS). Polls open 9:30 a.m.–8 p.m. ET on 5 Oct; Élections Québec expects first preliminary results between 8:30 and 9:00 p.m. No results reported here before they are posted. Result (Élections Québec preliminary, 6 Oct): PQ 59 of 127 seats — a minority; see quebec-pq-minority-2026. Watch post-election threshold instruments — not horse-race polls.

Last updated 2026-10-06

Primary tracker / statute →

Coutts blockade appeals — R v Carbert, 2026 ABCA 314

Alberta (Court of Appeal)

Court of Appeal of Alberta dismissed Chris Carbert’s and Anthony Olienick’s conviction appeals (1 Oct 2026). It held the s 184.4 emergency wiretap of Carbert was never justified, found the Coutts property warrant facially invalid, and rated the combined breaches ‘not minor,’ but admitted the firearms under s 24(2). Jury had acquitted both of conspiracy to murder police. News reports say sentence appeals are still pending.

Last updated 2026-10-05

Primary tracker / statute →

G7 / IEA 100-million-barrel oil and diesel release

G7 / IEA (Canada, U.S., EU members)

G7 leaders (2 Oct 2026) agreed a coordinated IEA release of 100 million barrels over four months, with a front-loaded diesel release within 20 days, refinery-maintenance coordination, and no intra-G7 energy export restrictions. IEA asked to report back within 20 days. Canada has no IEA stockholding obligation and no public emergency stocks (IEA). Kalibrate Canada average 2 Oct: diesel 260.7¢/L, regular 185.3¢/L.

Last updated 2026-10-05

Primary tracker / statute →

Bill C-34 — Safe Social Media / Digital Safety Act

Canada (federal)

Successor vehicle after C-63 died. Track Digital Safety Commission powers, chatbot duties, and any Criminal Code/CHRA hitchhikers. LEGISinfo (5 Oct): second reading, no activity yet. The House Projected Order of Business for 5 Oct does not list C-34, even though some previews said it was called.

Last updated 2026-10-05

Primary tracker / statute →

Alto high-speed rail (Toronto–Québec City concept)

Canada / Quebec–Ontario corridor

Crown megaproject inside the major-projects sales pitch. PBO report RP-2627-009-C (1 Oct 2026, for the Senate finance committee) prices the baseline route excluding Kingston at $75–113 billion (2024$) versus the government’s $60–90 billion; Kingston option (announced 22 Jun 2026) not costed; ridership/operations in a second PBO report. Alto says an initial business case is expected in H1 2027 (CP). Rigaud-area farmers protested the corridor carve-up.

Last updated 2026-10-05

Primary tracker / statute →

LNG Canada Phase 2 — Kitimat FID

Canada (B.C. / federal MPO)

JVPs took FID on Phase 2 (company 28 Sep / CNW 29 Sep): capacity 14→28 mtpa; PMO cites $33B private investment and welcomes TC Energy Coastal GasLink Phase 2 FID. Indigenous MNT equity option up to $1B for Phase 2 storage tank. Distinct from the West Coast oil pipeline, which was listed on Schedule 1 on 1 Oct 2026 (PC 2026-0925 / Pacific Link) — listing is not a CER certificate.

Last updated 2026-10-03

Primary tracker / statute →

Forever Canadian / Elections Alberta disclosure fight

Alberta

Elections Alberta compliance agreement (29 Sep 2026): Forever Canadian will split referendum-advertising contributions from other donations and report expenses for events where speakers took a position on the separation question, including the 23 Aug town hall and Unity Bus events on or after 20 Aug. The Commissioner’s summary says general unity events were not referendum advertising. Not a fine. Oct 19 referendum clock continues. Rebel mandamus file remains a separate process fight.

Last updated 2026-10-03

SCOTUS — Rhoney v. Barbosa da Cunha mandatory detention (26-104)

United States (SCOTUS)

Order List 1 Oct 2026 grants cert in Rhoney v. Barbosa da Cunha, No. 26-104 — ICE mandatory detention without bond for noncitizens apprehended inside the U.S. Docket: Petition GRANTED. Not a merits holding. Distinct from DHS v. D.V.D. (third-country) and Kingdom 26A416.

Last updated 2026-10-02

Primary tracker / statute →

Pacific Link / West Coast Oil Pipeline — Schedule 1 listed

Canada (federal / AB–BC)

OIC PC 2026-0925 (1 Oct 2026) amends Building Canada Act Schedule 1 to list the West Coast Oil Pipeline (~1 Mb/d Bruderheim–Delta). PMO/Alberta brand it Pacific Link. MPO/CER conditions document targeted for 1 Sep 2027. Listing ≠ CER certificate or construction. Gazette Part II regular index still Vol. 160 No. 19 (23 Sep) as of 2 Oct morning — Part II publication may lag the Order.

Last updated 2026-10-02

Primary tracker / statute →

Bill C-5 — One Canadian Economy Act / Building Canada Act

Canada (federal)

Cabinet can designate projects of national interest and compress federal approval pathways; Major Projects Office sells a two-year clock. West Coast Oil Pipeline listed on Schedule 1 via PC 2026-0925 (1 Oct 2026; Pacific Link brand) — MPO/CER conditions track toward 1 Sep 2027. Bill C-39 proposes further assessment/region/labour tools; second reading through 25 Sep; House returns 5 Oct.

Last updated 2026-10-02

Primary tracker / statute →

Diemert v. City of Seattle — hostile work environment (9th Cir.)

United States (Ninth Circuit / W.D. Wash.)

Published opinion No. 25-1188 (28 Sep 2026): reverse SJ on Title VII / WLAD hostile-work-environment claims tied to Seattle Race and Social Justice Initiative trainings and workplace incidents; affirm SJ on constructive discharge, disparate treatment, retaliation, Equal Protection; remand. Not a facial ban on race-conscious training.

Last updated 2026-10-01

Primary tracker / statute →

Gaines v. NCAA — Title IX summary judgment (N.D. Ga.)

United States (N.D. Ga. / 11th Cir. watch)

Judge Tiffany R. Johnson granted NCAA summary judgment (Doc. 196) holding no evidence NCAA received federal funds via DoD concussion CARE partnership; clerk’s judgment for NCAA (Doc. 197); case closed. Did not decide transgender-policy merits. Plaintiffs/ICONS have stated intent to appeal to the 11th Cir.; no notice-of-appeal ECF verified as of 1 Oct morning.

Last updated 2026-10-01

Primary tracker / statute →

Ofcom X/Grok probe + DSA Meta/TikTok follow-ons

United Kingdom / European Union

Meta appealed Ofcom Category 1 designations for Instagram/WhatsApp (Upper Tribunal path). Separate High Court judicial-review dates 13–14 Oct are not a UT Category 1 judgment. EU Meta & TikTok DSA prelims may become fines; X €120m transparency fine stands.

Last updated 2026-10-01

Primary tracker / statute →

U.S. Section 338 — Canadian alcohol / dairy / motor-vehicle exclusions

United States / Canada (trade)

Proclamations 11061 (alcohol), 11062 (dairy), 11063 (motor vehicles) exclude annex-listed Canadian products from U.S. importation effective 29 Sep 2026 12:01 a.m. ET under Tariff Act §338. CBP CSMS #70050970 rejects covered ACE entries. Escalation from prior 50% duties. Distinct from steel/aluminum tariff track (Stelco Hamilton idle).

Last updated 2026-09-30

Primary tracker / statute →

Netherlands / Denmark nitrogen & nutrient farm rules

Netherlands / Denmark / EU

Dutch cabinet’s 26 Jun 2026 €20B nitrogen package remains the programme; 15 Sep Throne speech refused postponement/cancellation. Denmark’s L5 gødskningslov (3 Sep; force 1 Jan 2027) now has most farm-level 2027 coastal emission limits posted for planning (~29 Sep midnight); some catchments adjusted in October; ~DKK 1.92B compensation frame in ministry messaging.

Last updated 2026-09-30

Primary tracker / statute →

SCOTUS — DHS v. D.V.D. third-country removals (26A406 / 26-426)

United States (SCOTUS / DHS)

Emergency stay of D. Mass. Feb 25 2026 order/judgment granted 29 Sep 2026; application treated as cert petition and granted as No. 26-426 for December 2026 argument. Sotomayor, Kagan, Jackson would deny stay. Merits of third-country-removal Guidance still open. Distinct from Kingdom BOP 26A416.

Last updated 2026-09-29

Primary tracker / statute →

Manitoba PE/HE curriculum pilot & parental option

Manitoba

Voluntary two-year pilot of rewritten health/phys-ed curriculum; premier pledged parental alternative-delivery option remains. Border Land School Division (23 Sep) will not join the pilot. CBC (window through 29 Sep) still says revised accommodation guidelines were circulated to pilot schools and would be posted publicly “soon” — no verified edu.gov.mb.ca public posting this run. Watch the public guideline URL and 2028–29 mandate.

Last updated 2026-09-29

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PBO capital-budgeting / operating-balance assessment

Canada (federal)

PBO operating-budget fiscal-anchor note (24 Sep) projects balance in 2029–30 vs Budget 2025’s 2028–29 target (and vs Carney’s 15 Sep 2027–28 claim). Flags inconsistent operating/capital labels. Pair with June EFO and September CPI refresh (19 Oct 2026).

Last updated 2026-09-28

Primary tracker / statute →

Big Six — CAD tokenized deposits exploration

Canada (banks / payments)

BMO, CIBC, NBC, RBC, Scotiabank and TD jointly exploring CAD tokenized-deposit solutions for interbank movement. Not a BoC retail CBDC. Watch any Payments Canada / OSFI / CDIC guidance and whether a phase-one network actually stands up.

Last updated 2026-09-24

Primary tracker / statute →

Ottawa — Safe Access By-law zones

Ottawa (municipal)

50-metre application-based protest buffers around designated schools, daycares, worship and care facilities. September designated-facility list initially had address errors later corrected. Watch renewals (~Sep 2027), ticket data, and any Charter challenge.

Last updated 2026-09-24

Primary tracker / statute →

SCC leave — Emergencies Act appeals

Canada (Supreme Court)

Government leave application reported ~17 Mar 2026 after FCA upheld core FC holdings on unreasonable invocation and Charter s.8 freezes. SCC 17 Sep 2026 leave-application release does not confirm grant or dismissal for this file — keep watching.

Last updated 2026-09-24

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Oregon — S.D. v. Reese prison housing (9th Cir.)

United States (Ninth Circuit / Oregon)

Ninth Circuit vacated D. Or. class injunction that required gender-identity placement presumption into Oregon’s women’s prison. Individual claims may continue on remand; watch any en banc or SCOTUS petition.

Last updated 2026-09-23

Primary tracker / statute →

EHRC Code of Practice post–For Women Scotland

United Kingdom

Equality Act sex = biological sex per UKSC. EHRC Services Code reported statutory from 5 Aug 2026. Outer House [2026] CSOH 59 (19 Jun) held SPS transgender prisons guidance unlawful — sex segregation by biological sex.

Last updated 2026-09-22

Primary tracker / statute →

IRCC / StatsCan — NPR share vs <5% by end-2027

Canada (federal)

Government commitment: non-permanent residents under 5% of population by end-2027. Arrival targets ≠ on-shore stock — watch StatsCan/IRCC quarterly shares.

Last updated 2026-09-21

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Justice Canada — first C-14 annual bail-data report

Canada (federal)

C-14 mandates annual bail-data reporting. First report will test whether reverse onuses and retail aggravators changed outcomes.

Last updated 2026-09-21

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ZEV mandate repeal — Gazette comment close 29 Oct 2026

Canada (federal)

Canada Gazette Part I proposes killing EVAS sales targets/credits while keeping fleet GHG tools. Watch Part II registration and BC/QC provincial ZEV interaction.

Last updated 2026-09-21

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Alberta CA — Calgary bubble-zone bylaw

Alberta

Safe and Inclusive Access Bylaw narrowed below; Court of Appeal leave granted. Pair with Vaughan CCLA challenge milestones.

Last updated 2026-09-21

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Fertilizer emissions — voluntary target → mandate risk

Canada (federal)

AAFC fertilizer emissions intensity target remains voluntary (~30% below 2020 by 2030). Trigger: Gazette or provincial rule converting voluntary to binding.

Last updated 2026-09-21

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Egale / Skipping Stone v. Alberta — Bill 27 pronouns

Alberta

Challenge to Education Amendment Act 2024 parental notice/consent for gender-related name/pronouns. Separate from Bill 26 gender-care injunction.

Last updated 2026-09-21

Primary tracker / statute →

Mirabelli v. Bonta — merits after SCOTUS interim order

United States (Ninth Circuit / California)

SCOTUS vacated Ninth Circuit stay as to parents (2 Mar 2026). Watch merits briefing and any expansion beyond named plaintiffs; pair with AB 1955 limited injunction.

Last updated 2026-09-21

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England KCSIE 2026 — gender-questioning implementation

United Kingdom (England)

Statutory safeguarding guidance folds Cass-informed gender-questioning content into KCSIE; parents’ views carry great weight with a harm exception.

Last updated 2026-09-21

Primary tracker / statute →

Alberta referendum — 19 October 2026

Alberta

Voters face remain / separation-process / reclaim-powers framing against Ottawa. Elections Alberta validation and petition fights are part of the same desk.

Last updated 2026-09-21

California AB 2624 — “Stop Nick Shirley Act”

California / U.S. federal court

Immigration-services privacy / anti-doxxing framing; America First Legal suit argues speech chill on investigative reporting.

Last updated 2026-09-21

Westlock flyer — Alberta Section 3 / human-rights tribunal

Alberta

Speech fight over a flyer opposing a rainbow crosswalk — Section 3 human-rights path as provincial censorship battleground.

Last updated 2026-09-21

USDA dairy checkoff ESG restrictions

United States

Mandatory checkoff fees pulled back from ESG marketing spend after Wisconsin producers sued — concrete agency response, not just rhetoric.

Last updated 2026-09-21

Fellers v. Kelley — Bow NH “XX” wristbands

United States (First Circuit)

Silent wristband protest over transgender athlete policy — First Circuit speech precedent for school discipline fights.

Last updated 2026-09-21