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Verified brief

Verified brief — 8 October 2026

Ottawa promises a fall bill to keep MAID closed to mental illness alone and to allow advance requests, and the House defeats the Conservative MAID bill 187–141. The PBO prices NATO’s 3.5% target at $163.6 billion a year by 2035-36. DHS proposes a $70,000 OPT fee billed to schools. EU auditors flag a 3.8% error rate and debt heading for €1 trillion. The diesel-tax motion fails 133–196, and C-39 gets its second-reading vote today.

Published

  1. Item 1

    MAID: on 7 October Justice Minister Sean Fraser and Health Minister Marjorie Michel said a bill this fall will keep the exclusion where mental illness is the sole condition “on an indeterminate basis.” The same bill would allow advance requests, which provinces could choose to permit. No bill has been tabled, and under current law the exclusion still lapses on 17 March 2027.

    Read the article →CBC, National Post (on-record statements); Criminal Code s. 241.2; C-62
  2. Item 2

    Hours later the House rejected Tamara Jansen’s C-218, which would have written “a mental disorder is not a grievous and irremediable medical condition” into the Criminal Code, 141–187 at second reading. Conservatives, the NDP, Elizabeth May and two Liberals voted yes; most Liberals and the Bloc voted no. Fraser objected that “mental disorders” could capture Alzheimer’s or Parkinson’s.

    Read the article →Journals No. 147, Division 177; Vote 177
  3. Item 3

    PBO primer (6 October): Canada’s NATO pledge means raising core defence spending from 2% of GDP to 2.5% in 2030 and 3.5% in 2035. On a gradual path that is $95.7 billion in 2030-31, rising to $163.6 billion in 2035-36. That figure is one year’s spending, not a cumulative total.

    Read the article →PBO NT-2627-013-S
  4. Item 4

    PBO fiscal cost: in 2035-36, spending on the 3.5% path is $70.1 billion above a 2% baseline. In accrual terms that adds $63.7 billion (1.4% of GDP) to that year’s deficit and 5.7 points of GDP to debt, none of it yet in budget projections. DND’s capital spending fell $18.5 billion short from 2017-18 to 2023-24 but has since picked up.

    Read the article →PBO NT-2627-013-S
  5. Item 5

    DHS/ICE proposed rule (Federal Register, 8 October) would charge SEVP-certified schools $70,000 per F-1 student recommended for initial Optional Practical Training and $30,000 for any later OPT, including the STEM extension. DHS says schools may pass the cost on to students or employers. Comments close 9 November.

    Read the article →91 FR 64566 (FR Doc 2026-20660)
  6. Item 6

    OPT scale: DHS counts 194,554 pre/post-completion OPT and 165,524 STEM OPT participants in 2024. Its impact analysis puts annualized transfers at $8.7–16.9 billion (primary $12.8 billion). The money goes to Treasury general receipts, and any final rule would take effect 60 days after publication.

    Read the article →91 FR 64566 RIA
  7. Item 7

    European Court of Auditors, 2025 reports (8 October): the accounts present fairly, but spending gets an adverse opinion, with a 3.8% estimated error rate (2024: 3.6%). The rate is 6.6% in cohesion and 3.9% in natural resources. Error means irregular payments, not fraud.

  8. Item 8

    EU debt: outstanding EU borrowing rose to €738.9 billion at end-2025 from €601.3 billion and could reach €1 trillion by 2027. NGEU financing costs this budget period could hit €28.3 billion, roughly double the €14.9 billion forecast. The ECA notes there is no published repayment strategy to 2058.

    Read the article →ECA AR-2025, paras 2.30–2.41
  9. Item 9

    The Conservative supply motion to eliminate all taxes on diesel consumption until at least Canada Day was negatived 133–196 on 7 October. All yeas were Conservative; Liberals, the Bloc, the NDP and the Green voted no. The federal excise pause to 31 January 2027 is unchanged.

    Read the article →Journals No. 147, Division 176; Vote 176
  10. Item 10

    C-39 Building Canada Strong Act: the previous question carried on division at midnight on 7 October. The second-reading vote is deferred to today, 8 October, after Question Period. Its 11-member legislative committee has been named. Still not law.

    Read the article →Journals No. 147; PROC 34th report
  11. Item 11

    U.S. diesel order: no IRS dyed-diesel or 7508A announcement as of 8 October morning; the latest release is IR-2026-120. Treasury’s five-day window runs to about 10 October. Illinois went first on 6 October with EO 2026-08, which allows on-road use of farm dyed diesel under state enforcement.

    Read the article →IRS newsroom; Illinois Governor release 6 Oct